Advanced Forecasting In-house Training

2020 was a stark reminder of just how unpredictable the world is. As events unfolded and policy makers responded it was necessary for banks and other economic agents to continuously update their outlook on how the economy would respond. Markets initially lurched downwards, stocks, commodities and interest rates but then started to look through the immediate impact of the crisis to a recovering economy benefiting from vaccines and the monetary and fiscal tools deployed by policy makers. Many would argue that the markets have been wildly optimistic about recovery, others would disagree. What is clear is that forecasting is much more difficult, and yet far more important, than we might like. The aim of this course is to provide participants with an overview of approaches to forecasting ranging from the classical linearforecasting methods to non-linear approaches, predicting extreme events and the types of techniques used by traders. While the aim is to present a range of techniques, the course is also frank about their weaknesses and great emphasis is placed on making use of all available techniques together with incorporation of expert judgement. During the presentation the trainer will develop models using a range of tools to demonstrate techniques. Participants will have opportunities to explore the models further.

THE EVENT WILL START IN
TRAINER
EVENT INTRODUCTION

2020 was a stark reminder of just how unpredictable the world is. As events unfolded and policy makers responded it was necessary for banks and other economic agents to continuously update their outlook on how the economy would respond. Markets initially lurched downwards, stocks, commodities and interest rates but then started to look through the immediate impact of the crisis to a recovering economy benefiting from vaccines and the monetary and fiscal tools deployed by policy makers. Many would argue that the markets have been wildly optimistic about recovery, others would disagree. What is clear is that forecasting is much more difficult, and yet far more important, than we might like. The aim of this course is to provide participants with an overview of approaches to forecasting ranging from the classical linearforecasting methods to non-linear approaches, predicting extreme events and the types of techniques used by traders. While the aim is to present a range of techniques, the course is also frank about their weaknesses and great emphasis is placed on making use of all available techniques together with incorporation of expert judgement. Duringthepresentationthetrainerwilldevelopmodelsusingarangeoftoolstodemonstrate techniques. Participants will have opportunities to explore the models further.

Who should attend?

Analysts, Vice Presidents, Directors, Senior Managers in:

• Treasury Functions

• Capital Management

• Governance

• Audit

• Trading

• Risk Management

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Advanced Forecasting In-house Training
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Past Clients

Testimonials

The level of professionalism of the trainer. Fine-tuned program without wasting time

Managing Director – European pharma company

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Clear and interesting way of presenting issues, good examples and very knowledgeable trainer.

HR Director - Multinational company based in Europe

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Excellent trainer, super skilled, funny and extremely dynamic

M&A Professional

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This training was interesting and I would love to attend more trainings like this.

HR Professional

Testimonials

All lectures of the trainer was exactly what I was looking for and it was directly related to my experties and area that I am working. On top of that he prepared all lectures in a very practical way and also took his time to asnwers to the questions and he made sure that we got the asnwer. The organization of this class was also very good.

Pharmaceutical professional

Testimonials

Comprehensive overview with very knowledgeable and experienced trainers. The break-out sessions were great as they made the course more interactive and allowed us to apply the concepts in practice.

Banking professional from Europe

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LÁSZLÓ ÁRVAI

Managing Director / Co-founder

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Managing Director / Co-founder